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All theories as to why Gwent is the coronavirus-hit place in Wales

Every single part of Wales has been affected by coronavirus with cases reported in every area of ​​the health board.

Cases have been reported across the country and the number continues to rise every day.

On Thursday 284 new cases were announced in Wales bringing the total number of confirmed cases to 2,121.

The Royal Gwent Hospital in Newport. The Aneurin Bevan health committee has the highest confirmed number of coronavirus cases in Wales
The Royal Gwent Hospital in Newport. The Aneurin Bevan health committee has the highest confirmed number of coronavirus cases in Wales

But a small part of Wales has consistently seen higher figures than anywhere else.

As of Thursday 2 April, the Aneurin Bevan University Health Board has had 766 virus cases, the highest in Wales.

The health council covers Blaenau Gwent, Caerphilly, Newport, Torfaen and Monmouthshire.

There have been many advanced theories as to why the area has been hit so hard and while some have been dispelled, there is still no definitive answer.

These are some of the theories that have been given so far on the prevalence of cases in the area.

It is close to England

On March 26 the chief medical officer of Wales gave his explanation for the coronavirus peak around Newport.

Speaking at a press conference, dr. Frank Atherton provided a reason for the wave of cases in this particular part of Wales. He said: “Aneurin Bevan has seen more cases than anywhere else in Wales and there are some reasons for this.

“First of all, it’s closer to England. We know that the” hotspot “in the UK is around London and therefore being on the border with England is a problem.”

Other tests

Dr Frank Atherton addresses the media at a press conference

Dr Atherton previously said that “there have been many more” tests in the health board area “, so more cases have been identified as a natural consequence.”

Prime Minister Mark Drakeford also said that “the tests have been conducted more vigorously, more broadly and earlier than in other parts of Wales.”

“It’s just luck”

An infectious disease expert said it may be a coincidence that the area has seen more cases than anywhere else.

Dr. Richard Stanton works in the infection and immunity division at the University of Cardiff School of Medicine.

We asked readers several questions to Dr. Stanton, including why Gwent is the epicenter of the epidemic in Wales.

On Friday he said, “I’m afraid I don’t have specific information about it. Some areas will have more than others, it’s just a fortune on where infected people have traveled.”

You can read other answers from dr. Staton here.

Drakeford also said on March 30: “The case is also doing its part.”

An infected health worker

On March 30, another reason was put forward to explain the number of cases.

Officials reported that a health care worker was diagnosed very early in the outbreak and had infected colleagues. Drakeford claims that this diagnosis was also the reason the area saw multiple tests in the beginning.

He said a “group of people” within the health committee ended up getting the virus, adding: “It’s part of the history of the Gwent epidemic.”

A game of rugby

The dragons faced Benetton, based in Treviso, Italy, at the Rodney Parade in Newport in a Guinness PRO14 clash reorganized on March 6 and speculation spread that the game was behind the outbreak in the area.

Italy is one of the most affected countries in the world with thousands of people dying from Covid-19.

But an infectious disease expert said there was no evidence linking the situation in South East Wales to the event.

Dr Andrew Freedman is an infectious disease expert and honorary consultant at the Faculty of Medicine of the University of Cardiff.

Just under 2,000 people attended the game on March 6, five days after the first case in Wales was confirmed.

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“There are many other possibilities,” said Dr. Freedman.

“It only takes one person who has it but doesn’t know who has it to spread to other people.

“Obviously the first cases we had in the UK were imported and there are many trips going on.

“It is possible that [rugby match] it was the way it got there, but in the same way there are many people who come from Italy or from other countries who were seeing the infection before us.

“You can’t say that and I don’t think we’ll ever be honest.”

London commuting

Dr Atherton also said that the majority of cases could be partially related to the journey to London via the M4.

Drakeford also said earlier that “there is evidence that the disease is moving from east to west across the United Kingdom and Newport is located just at the eastern end of Wales.”

But others have pointed out that other hotspots in the UK are not close to London, such as Birmingham.

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