The scientist who projected last week that Britain would suffer 5,700 coronavirus deaths said that new data suggest that it was a significant underestimate and that Britain is in a very “dangerous” state.
Tom Pike of Imperial College calculated the probable total mortality rate assuming that the outbreak in Britain would follow a trajectory similar to that seen in Wuhan, China.
His article predicted that at most, Britain would have 260 deaths per day. That number was hit on the weekend.
Professor Tom Pike of Imperial College London said that the outbreak of Britain no longer seems to follow the trajectory seen in Wuhan, China
He said this completely changed the results. “We don’t know where the climb will go, or if it will continue in the same direction,” said Professor Pike.
“It is critical in terms of expected total deaths. If