After a month of a frenzied first half of November 2020, With hurricanes Eta and Iota hitting Central America, November relaxes in the formation of named tropical storms.
A wide low-pressure trough located near and north of the Turks and Caicos Islands continues to produce disorganized rains and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure could form within the next couple of days as the trough moves north, and there is a small chance could briefly acquire subtropical features earlier this week before merging with a cold front. By the end of the following week, this system may have a second chance to develop subtropical features if it breaks away from the front and snakes over the central Atlantic.
* Probability of formation in 48 hours … low … 10 percent.
* Probability of formation in 5 days … low … 10 percent.
The subtropical system has a low probability of forming, but if it did it would be Kappa named tropical storm 31. I would do it over open water.
Animation of individual storm tracks for the 30 named Atlantic TCs in 2020. The final map shows all 30 at once, highlighting the crowded Gulf of Mexico + Caribbean Sea.
Due to Arthur’s early start (mid-May), the season had already spanned 7 months by the time Iota made landfall. pic.twitter.com/IuNCqqwRig
— Kim Wood (@DrKimWood) November 21, 2020
November is the last official month of the 2020 hurricane season in the Atlantic but the formation of tropical storms could last in December, in this “crazy” 2020.
Here’s how 2020 Atlantic #hurricane season ranks so far with other seasons in satellite era (since 1966) and with long-term average. Record-setting for named storms, 2nd for hurricanes & major hurricanes, 3rd for named storm days, 6th for Accumulated Cyclone Energy. pic.twitter.com/VCZoVb6p5h
— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) November 20, 2020