There have been many great generals in the annals of history, often with very different ideas about exactly how to wage war.
But there is a common principle that binds them all together.
"If a battle can not be won, do not fight it," warned Sun Tzu, the venerable Chinese warrior from 544 to 496 BCE. AD whose tactical treatise "The Art of War" is now considered a masterpiece.
"Do not fight if you win nothing by winning," said Erwin Rommel, the most successful Nazi general during the Second World War.
The same principle applies to political conflicts.
"Choose your battles wisely," said Frank Underwood in House of Cards. "Do not start a war, you know you're going to lose."
Let us not delude ourselves about the enormity of what is about to be unleashed here: for more than a month, President Trump's potential removal process (photo of November 12) has been held under the secret veil. But today, all of this will explode in public consciousness in front of the world's television cameras
The Democrats (Nancy Pelosi, photo Nov. 12) entered the casino of Congress to throw all their chips on the dismemberment of Trump by impeachment. But in doing so, they raised the bar of potentially ruinous stakes – not for Trump, but for them
Television news crews are photographed to be put in place before televised dismissal hearings
This should be a pretty obvious mantra, but it's a principle that is ignored many times by those who should know it better, because ego and pride disturb common sense.
This brings me clearly to the beginning of today's public impunity hearings in the House of Representatives.
Let us not delude ourselves about the enormity of what is about to be unleashed here: for more than a month, the process of potential removal of President Trump is conducted under the veil of secrecy.
There have been leaks, counter leaks, anonymous media reports and a myriad of deposit transcripts, all of which have created an increasingly feverish atmosphere.
But today, all this will explode in public consciousness before television cameras around the world, each change being traced faithfully, and probably hysterically, in real time, greeting the traditional and social media.
This, as indicated this morning on the front page of the New York Post, featuring the impeachment drivers Democrats Adam Schiff and Nancy Pelosi, will be the world's biggest political spectacle, a stunning sensationalist trial in court. of public opinion.
But, as also suggested Post, it is a particularly perverse case in which the defendant is presumed guilty even before any public testimony is heard.
And that's where lies the biggest problem for Democrats.
They headed to the casino of Congress to throw all their chips on Trump's withdrawal by impeachment.
But in doing so, they raised the bar of potentially ruinous stakes – not for Trump, but for them.
"If a battle can not be won, do not fight it," warned Sun Tzu (statue on the right), the venerable Chinese warrior from 544 to 496 BC. AD whose tactical treatise "The Art of War" is now considered a masterpiece. "Choose wisely your battles," said Frank Underwood in House of Cards (left), "do not start a war, you know you're going to lose."
I said from the time that it was common knowledge that the infamous telephone call of President Zelenski by the Ukrainian President was a stupidly stupid thing to do, intervening so soon after being authorized by the special advocate Mueller to cooperate with Russia to fix the 2016 elections.
That the President of the United States is asking a foreign leader to investigate his main national political opponent, Joe Biden, goes against everything that America defends.
Trump's repeated statement since it was "a perfect call" is, frankly, bullsh * t.
It was a very flawed call that should not have happened.
BUT, and it is a crucial "but", I do not think it reaches the bar required for indictment, which requires one of the following four criteria: "Treason, corruption or other serious crimes and misdemeanors minors ".
The charge against President Trump is that he deliberately denied Ukraine $ 400 million in military aid, unless Ukraine officially investigates Joe Biden for alleged corruption while he was a vice -President.
Still, help has been provided, although only a few weeks later than expected, and NO such investigation on Biden has ever been launched.
So, if there was any agreement, it never materialized.
This leaves us with the question of intent, and on this point there is no compelling evidence that Trump has asked for a counterpart of "help for peace".
Oh, there was a lot of noise, and none of that sounds good.
But people who have an anti-Trump interest have sprung a good deal of it, and I have not seen anything yet that establishes 100% the crucial decisive factor as a cold and difficult reality.
Moreover, even if an uncontrollable firearm were launched, I doubt very much that the public opinion would be sufficiently moved to force the Republicans in the Senate to condemn Trump and terminate his presidency prematurely.
First, because of the extremely partisan nature of current American politics.
Secondly, because of the undeniable apathy of many Americans facing this Ukrainian scandal.
Two words: "RUSSIA COLLUSION!"
They have just been subjected to two years of mass hysteria, provoked by the same people, following a similar scandal involving Trump, supposed to conspire with a foreign power against the American national interest, so that it all ends with a gigantic burger.
The main charge against President Trump is to have voluntarily denied Ukraine military aid of $ 400 million, unless Ukraine formally investigates alleged corruption of Joe Biden while he was vice president (photo of September 25).
Despite the unflinching efforts of the liberal – dominated media to downplay it, there is still a great deal of doubt as to whether Biden 's son (photo of 8 November) actually built Hunter in Ukraine while his father was supervising. American activity in this country. case of public interest. One thing is certain: these dismissal hearings go to the bottom of things too. So, we could be in an extraordinary position in a few weeks, when nothing new emerges to kill Trump, but some bomb revelations explode to kill the leader of the Democrats in 2020
That's why it's so much harder to be so excited about UKRAINE COLLUSION!
By indiscriminately exaggerating the blown collusion with Russia and now doubling the so-called Ukrainian collusion, the Democrats took the risk of posing as the boys and girls who constantly cry the wolf.
Then there is the Biden problem.
Despite the unflinching efforts of the liberal-dominated press to downplay it, there is still a good deal of doubt about what Biden's son, Hunter, built in Ukraine while his father was overseeing US operations in that country. in fact a matter of legitimate concern.
One thing is certain: these dismissal hearings go to the bottom of things too.
So we could be in an extraordinary position in a few weeks, when nothing new emerges to kill Trump, but some bomb revelations explode to kill the leader of the Democrats in 2020.
These impeachment hearings will be very dangerous waters and nobody can be so confident about what will happen.
This brings me back to the most important principle of war: never start fighting that you can not win.
The democrats have all gone into impeachment without knowing how it would end.
And that could end up being a catastrophic self-damaging act that gives Donald Trump the next election.