If a year ago the breakup of the United Kingdom with the European Union seemed the greatest of recent European challenges, since this spring the covid has acted as a mute and has left no room for concern, at least in terms of citizenship. . However, the transition period ends at the end of the year and the European Commission’s expectations are not yet definitive with just over 30 days left. It is not just any nation but one of the largest contributors to the European fund and one of the relevant countries in the future of the continent both for its commercial relations and for its social and historical ties.
The countdown begins this week with a key meeting of the negotiating teams from Friday of which the progress is not yet known. EU officials have given themselves this week a deadline to test the degree of whether it activates contingency measures to address the real threat of the ‘no deal’ and provide member countries with the necessary mechanisms from January.
In principle, there is consensus on judicial cooperation, trade in goods and services, security coordination, and Von der Leyen calls for equal treatment on issues such as fiscal transparency, labor and environmental rights, as well as state subsidies. On the contrary, the harshness is refocusing on the much-claimed sovereignty of the island in aspects such as borders, state subsidies and the control of fishing waters, a central issue for Spanish interests. In this case, Foreign Affairs is uncertain about the case of Gibraltar, for which it will have to assume a common position from Brussels.
Boris Johnson is running out of time. Although it insists on its permanent inflexibility, it does not enjoy the best scenarios as far as the economy is concerned. With poor management of the pandemic and forecasts of a decline in GDP unprecedented in recent decades, a disagreement on Brexit would shrink British wealth by 8% more, according to a study by the London School of Economics (LSE). All hopes are pinned on this week’s attempt as there would be practically no time to put more extensions on the table at the wish of Johnson himself, despite the fact that the pandemic has disrupted negotiations throughout the year. In that last call for an agreement, the president of the European Commission contains the desire of European capitals to implement plan B. It is a matter of days. There is no more delay.