Ozil hits rock bottom: Arsenal also leaves him out of the list for the Premier League – Europa Directo

The German Mesut Özil has not been included by the London Arsenal in the list of players to dispute the Premier League. The former Real Madrid player will not be able to play for the Gunners until at least the next transfer window in January. Meanwhile, he will only be able to do so with the U21 team.

Mikel Arteta had to select a list of 25 players to play in the domestic championship and has left out Özil, whose contract ends next summer, and Sokratis.

Özil has not played for Arsenal since last March and this season he has not yet entered any call-ups with Arteta.

The German was already out of the list a few days ago to play the Europa League.

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SEMBLANZA: “Have a good career, Masche” | News from El Salvador

The indelible memory of an interview with a 19-year-old Javier Mascherano when he appeared as the remarkable player he later became.

Years go by and one of the privileges, modest by the way, that the profession of journalist gives us is to see how much water ran under the bridge of certain notes. As time goes on, one reviews the joy of interviewing promising youngsters who later became world sports stars. Something like this happened with a 19-year-old I met who would later be an emblem for years of the Argentine national team and the star of one of the best teams in history: Guardiola’s Barcelona.

Read more: The retirement of a great Argentine football

A production in the newspaper Clarín was the bridge. The main referents of Argentine sport who would make up the large Albiceleste delegation at the Pan American Games in Santo Domingo 2003 had been invited.

The one chosen to represent football had been Maxi López, a star in the making at that time. But, as often happens, the guest ‘fell’ days before. So, what in newsroom jargon is called “plan B” was invited. And he gladly accepted.

Although he had already made his debut in the senior team (before his River team), he arrived by bus to the appointment but could not find the newspaper’s writing. A call alerted him to his confusion and so I went to look for him on the corner. The note talks about a crack pigeon, a quiet and serious player, who was already a leader in youth teams. The young man with few words imagined those Pan American Games as a “mini Olympic Games, a new and very interesting experience. And there will be Brazil, the tournament cannot be given to them … “

The author of that phrase would later be Olympic champion in 2004, an unprecedented gold medal in the history of Argentine football. He was not a champion once; it was twice. He repeated in Beijing 2008, already with Messi, Agüero, Di María and Riquelme in that team that beat Ronaldinho’s Brazil in the semis.

He would also be the protagonist of four World Cups, central figure of the 2014 Brazil finalist, the player who would wear the albiceleste shirt the most times in history.

Javier Mascherano announced his retirement after a match in the Professional Soccer League Cup playing for Pincha. Twitter photo of Estudiantes de La Plata

From that River in which he consolidated a couple of months after that interview and where the nickname of “Little Boss” was born (because he was the “5” that replaced the “Boss” Leo Astrada), he went to Corinthians. From there, to being a substitute at West Ham and a starter at Liverpool (yes, these things usually happen in football) until landing at Guardiola’s Barcelona. That coach who told him “You know you’re coming not to play, right?” upon his arrival at Barca and who later described him as “one of the smartest players I managed.” He finished his playing cycle last week at Estudiantes, el Pincha.

Looking at the video that was made to him by the Argentine National Team as a farewell (recommendation: look for it on the AFA networks # if you didn’t see it) I remembered that phrase, premonitory or commitment ?: “Have a good career, the football is usually ungrateful ”I told Javier Mascherano when I accompanied him to the bondi (bus) stop for his return home.

Interview with Javier Mascherano and other Argentine athletes in the Diario Clarín, in 2003. Photo EDH / Courtesy Clarín.

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What changes in a month!

Anglo-Saxons have a much shorter and more expressive exclamation than the one we use in Spanish to say that you have to see what things change in a year !: “what a difference a year makes!”.

What they change… and how little they change at the same time!

Last year at this time we were commenting that in Hong Kong tourism had collapsed due to the extreme tensions to which the umbrella revolution, to the point that sI could get a hotel room for just six euros a day.

A year later that revolution is already extinct, although you can still get a hotel room for eleven euros a night. Why, Who wants to go to Hong Kong these days, go through the horca Forks of the PCR test at the airport (with its corresponding 12-hour wait, after an 18-hour flight) and the subsequent 14-day quarantine? It is not surprising that its GDP fell by 9.1% annually in the first quarter of 2020 and also by 9% in the second, although in the third the fall had already eased (-3.5%).

Just a year ago half the world was in an uproar and the other half stunned by the rise in mortal flesh to the altars of Greta Thunberg leading a self-proclaimed mass movement Extinction Rebellion, or rebellion against the extinction that would cause global warming.

Macabre advance

Today, with a million and a half victims extinguished by Covid-19, that rebellion against extinction seems to be a macabre foretaste of the extinction that was already beginning in China. Things have changed a lot, but the threat of extinction has manifested itself more acutely than the prophetess calculated or intuited.

In November 2019 the whole world exhaled sigh of relief why rThe United Kingdom and the European Union had finally reached an Agreement to carry out the decision reached in a referendum and known as ‘Brexit’. It seemed like a huge change, after three and a half agonizing years in British politics, with two elections to Parliament included and a country divided even in the way it said good morning.

Well, a year later everything has changed again, to return to the starting point: Boris Johnson has decided to back down on key aspects of the Agreement and, just five weeks before the deadline for the UK’s disorderly departure from the European Union, has decided to fire his ideologue of ‘brexit’ and no one, not even himself, knows what he wants (at least, that’s what even his closest friends think).

The pandemic and the theatrical twists and turns of the script have made even London’s forex traders decide to throw in the towel and do not dare to take positions for or against the price of the pound sterling, after having his fingers caught in her for those unexpected turns.

However, despite how complicated the negotiation is, and already in cut-off time for ‘Brexit’, there is something that seems clear: the secular decline of the British pound that began 100 years ago (when the pound was trading at 4.88 dollars in the exchange markets) will continue. Against the euro it is difficult for it to fall below parity (one pound equivalent to one euro) although a chaotic exit from the European Union makes even that possible.

Federal Reserve

The catastrophic changes that have occurred in the last twelve months, however, were announced not only by the prophets of the caloric apocalypse but by something much more municipal and thick as is the activity of the creators of money, the central banks. In the case of the Federal Reserve, this activity was caused by something very disturbing and, therefore, almost premonitory, such as the need to inject huge amounts of funds into the US money markets (technically in the ‘repo’ market, where US public debt is sold at very short terms and with a repurchase agreement).

The need manifested itself in a very virulent way in the month of September 2019 and had an element of intrigue at the height of the best detective novel, and that is that nobody understood what was happening. A money market as important as that of the ‘repos’ had stopped working normally and no one, inside or outside the Federal Reserve, understood why.

The European Central Bank had to initiate a looser monetary policy also just a month later and all this, seen from now on, seemed like the dress rehearsal of what all central banks were going to have to do, under much more dramatic conditions, in March 2020, with financial markets in convulsions from the pandemic.

Twelve more months and everything has radically changed in those marketsAt the same time, everything remains the same in them: they continue to need the enormous liquidity that central banks provide them and without any expectation that, in the short term, they will be able to do without it.

In November 2019, Greece was still seen as that wasteland that Varoufakis had left behind, suffocated by the enormous public debt accumulated by the governments before him, with the invaluable help of the American business banks and the German commercial banks, and pressured by the massive arrival of immigrants through Turkey, in addition to being threatened militarily by it.

It seems astonishing that 200 years after Lord Byron went around firing his shotguns in the war to liberate Greece from the Ottoman Empire, military tensions between two NATO partners continue to stiffen at different times throughout the 20th century. a take me there those straws in Cyprus. As if we were on the eve of another Lepanto.

By the way, tomorrow, November 24, it will be 451 years since the departure from the Port of Messina of a Spanish ship loaded with explosives and with 50,000 escudos in merchandise with which to hide them. It was the grace year of 1569 and the goal was to blow up the Istanbul arsenal. The company failed. It was only two years until the Battle of Lepanto. The most funny thing about that story full of bizarre elements was the name of the ship: El Cuñado. You can see that the brothers-in-law did not have such a bad press then as they do now!

Continuing… However, and despite enormous geopolitical and financial difficulties, Today Greece does not stop, while here we are in Babia. Not satisfied with the previous tax advantages that it has been granting to those who are domiciled to telework or enjoy their retirement pension from there, now it also tries to attract itself to the world of cinema, television and video games, with a program of aid for value of 75 million euros, mix of subsidies and tax breaks.

Also a year ago, the Community of Madrid had just begun to be presided over by an unknown and, for many, bizarre Isabel Díaz Ayuso who, last month, was about to be politically evicted by both the central government (PSOE) and her own party (PP) and by his coalition Citizens, in the midst of the mistakes he had made during the summer, letting the Covid-19 get out of hand in Madrid.

Six weeks later Madrid is an island, together with the Balearic and Canary Islands, where the incidence of Covid-19 is among the lowest in all of Spain, which has caused that to date a good part of the measures that she had been applying, or demanding, in the fall have begun to seem reasonable to the central government, and, even, to be imitated by other regional governments.

So, in practice, she no longer only appears to be the true leader of the opposition, but she also seems to be dictating health policy for the entire country: selective closures of businesses already approved in Catalonia; requirement of PCRs in airports, as in Hong Kong and half the world, etc.

What strange things are seen in the dark!, Rosalía de Castro would have exclaimed. The virtual leader of the opposition, and member of the PP, in a position of minister of health, also virtual and outside the walls, of a government of the PSOE!

What things change in a year. What things change in a month.

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Norauto proposes five gifts for lovers of the new mobility

Are you thinking of making the leap to electric mobility? Norauto offers five ideas to give this Christmas to lovers of technology and urban mobility: scooters, bicycles or an electric scooter.

In recent years, electric scooters have become one of the preferred options to travel around the nucleus of large cities. Convenience, low cost and sustainability are the main reasons why users choose this type of transport in their day to day. For all those who were thinking of getting a personal electric vehicle, Norauto proposes these five products to give this Christmas.

The products are available both in the physical autocentres and in the web, having the possibility of reserving the product and picking it up at the indicated center.

DGT: electric scooters (definitely) will not be able to ride on sidewalks

Electronic Wayscral Kickway E1

The Wayscral scooter, Norauto’s own brand of electric mobility vehicles, has been developed as a result of its experience of more than 12 years in this segment. It is foldable, so it is easy to transport and store. In addition, a pin-unlock anti-theft system and anti-theft system present in the fork of the scooter. Equip double disc brake, has a autonomy of 25 kilometers and it has an LCD display with 4 levels of assistance. It has a price of 379,99 euros.

Xiaomi 1S Electric Scooter

xiaomi patient

The Xiaomi 1S is one of the most interesting electric scooters on the market thanks to its excellent price / product ratio. It is the latest novelty of the Asian brand and has up to 30 kilometers of autonomy. On the other hand, it is capable of achieving a top speed 25 km / h. A small screen has been installed on its handlebar that allows us to know the status of the battery as well as manage the different driving modes. In this sense, it should be noted that the maintenance of the scooter is assured since Norauto is an official authorized technical service of Xiaomi in Spain. The price of this model is 429,99 euros.

Wayscral Takeaway E1 / 20 Electric Bike Black

Electric folding bike

This bike is perfect for commuting in the city. In addition, it is foldable so it can be combined with the use of public transport. It has a 250 W front electric motor and a small LED display to control the functions. This electric bike is equipped with an integrated Shimano transmission that allows you to change gears when stopped and prevents the chain from drifting. This product is available by 549,99 euros.

Wayscral E-start Electric Scooter White

electric motorcycle

Ideal for moving around the city, this scooter with 1,200 watt Bosch electric motor, has two driving modes, Eco and Fast. Has a 45 km range, halogen headlight in the front and LED lights in turn signals, taillight and brake light. The price of this fully electric scooter is 1.499 euros.

Smart4U helmet

Smart4U Norauto hull

Beyond protecting you against any fall, this helmet also increases visibility since the LED rear signaling light turns on when detecting darkness. This product is especially recommended for users of electric scooters and has an adjustable headband and different ventilation outlets. The light sensor offers an autonomy of use of up to 36 hours. Its price is 59,99 euros.


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U-turn in transatlantic relations with the triumph of Biden?

Drag. Paulina Astroza, Director of the UdeC European Studies Program.

Since AP announced that Joe Biden had surpassed the 270 large voters needed to win the presidential election, almost automatically – as if the tweets had been written and just waiting to press send – numerous European leaders sent their congratulations to the President elect. From the president of the European Commission, the presidents of the Council and European Parliament even the heads of government of the different European countries. Only Slovenia, country of origin of Melania, struck the jarring note. It is true that the relationships between EU Y EE.UU. were seriously damaged in the four years of the administration Trump, within whose first measures was to abandon the negotiations of a TLC that had been initiated with Obama. The withdrawal of the EE.UU. in foreign policy, the unilateralism of its decisions, the increase in tariffs on European products, the explicit support of Trump al Brexit, the constant siege against Angela Merkel and to a lesser extent against Macronare just some examples of the lack of harmony between both parts of the Atlantic. The same happened with the commitment to collective security established in art. V of the North Atlantic Treaty (NATO) that was not mentioned by Trump on his first visit to the headquarters in Brussels.

How much will the scene change in the era Biden? It will change tone, for sure. Biden I call Merkel, Macron, Martin y Johnson once known of his triumph (it is not known in what order). The message to the Franco-German duo was of the desire to rebuild ties. A Michael Martin, Primer Irish Minister, was supportive, even more so for having Biden himself Irish origins. As to Johnson, (traditionally the President-elected from USA called his British counterpart in Europe first, and this time it is not clear that this was the case), the warning made that the Brexi could not jeopardize the peace and stability between the two Irlandes was a blow to the attempts to Johnson of violating the Exit Agreement concluded with the EU and which puts this stability at risk. Relationships will probably be more cordial than with Trump but Europe no longer has the traditional trust in its ally. This is why a concept that is not new but that has had little progress, such as “Strategic Autonomy”, has begun to gain more strength. This concept has been gaining space in times of Covid-19 where in Europe the dependence of the Chinese market on supplies and medical technology and of EE.UU. in military matters.

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Boris Johnson already has a solution for the crisis and the pandemic: more military spending – Europa Directo

Boris Johnson has found a way to lift the spirits of Tory MPs and the rank and file of the party. Polls place the Conservatives fairly on par with Labor – some with Keir Starmer’s party. in front-, which is a big drop from the December 2019 elections, which the Tories won by 11.5 points difference. Dozens of Tory MPs are making no secret of their displeasure at the unfulfilled promises the prime minister made at the end of the summer. At that time, the government anticipated an imminent return to economic normality. The second wave of the coronavirus has required the return of the most drastic measures, so far without very positive results.

Everything is depressing for the Tories shortly before the final culmination of Brexit. The alternative that Johnson presents, the candy with which he tries to make his party and the population forget the hardships of the present, is to return to the past and the naval glories of the empire. It is time to brighten the great power character of the United Kingdom with a large increase in military spending.

Joe Biden’s arrival at the White House in January leaves London without a reliable ally in Washington, even though Donald Trump’s erratic character and his disinterest in European countries were not a guarantee for British foreign policy either. But Biden is a pragmatist that it will try to rebuild relations with Europe and the importance of NATO, and there the United Kingdom can play a relevant role. The downside for London is that a post-Brexit Britain is less interesting as an intermediary in the dialogue with the Europeans for the US. Furthermore, Biden has already made clear that the future of Ulster is a matter that interests you especially.

To remedy this, Johnson has opted for rearmament. An extra expense of £ 16 billion over the next four years. The largest increase in real terms since the time of Margaret Thatcher. There was a prior commitment to increase Defense spending by 0.5 points above inflation, so the final figure could be around 21,500 million.

“This is our opportunity to end the era of withdrawal, transform our Armed Forces, strengthen our global influence, unite our country, invest in new technologies and defend our people and their way of life,” said Boris Johnson.

The Ministry of Finance had resisted Defense requests until now. It was Johnson’s personal intervention that closed the debate. The increase in public spending during the pandemic will force Foreign Minister Rishi Sunak to completely review the budget that was presented in March. Next week, Sunak will present the new data to Parliament. Expected to confirm that UK finances have taken the hardest hit since World War II.

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Under current conditions, analysts see no alternative but to increase taxes – a very difficult drink for conservatives to accept – although no decision in that regard is expected until 2021 when the final economic impact of the pandemic is known.

The Bank of England has predicted that the drop in GDP will be 11% this year, the largest decline in the last three centuries.

Always ready to live up to imperial glories or to emulate Winston Churchill for whom the naval force was the best standard of British influence, Johnson intends to pay special attention to the Navy as a symbol of foreign policy and of the country’s global strength. The extra money will serve to complete the strike group of the two new aircraft carriers already delivered to the Navy, but still pending their final deployment (the first of them will do so next year). Frigates, support ships and aircraft what do you need they were still in the air due to budgetary problems. “More warships for the Royal Navy” is the goal that Johnson has announced.

The Green Party has compared the increase in spending to the £ 4 billion added for the fight against climate change. “We are walking blindly into a dystopian video game without a public debate” about the country’s priorities, has said its number two, Amelia Womack. Pacifist NGOs have been more aggressive in criticizing. “Tanks and warplanes will not keep us safe from the most serious threats we face: pandemic, poverty and the climate emergency. Covid-19 has revealed the superficiality of naive opinions that argue that weapons give us security. You cannot attack a virus with nuclear weapons “, has denounced Symon Hill, of the organization Peace Pledge Union.

The construction of the two aircraft carriers was commissioned by the Gordon Brown Government a decade ago. After coming to power and at the beginning of the era of austerity, David Cameron seriously considered selling one of them, still under construction, but the high price meant that there were no candidates. The contracts made made it more expensive to cancel the order than to carry it to the end, even though the deployments in Iraq and Afghanistan showed that the Army was most in need of the money.

As a symbol of the country’s military power, aircraft carriers belong to an earlier era. These giants of the sea are now much more vulnerable due to the advancement in missile technology. The Chinese anti-ship missile Dong-Feng 21 It is its most recognized adversary since it was put into action in the early 1990s. Mounted on a mobile platform from the ground, it has an operational range of about 1,700 kilometers. It is designed to attack large ships, especially aircraft carriers. It can land on its target at a maximum speed of Mach 10.

It’s not that China has kept its ability to make aircraft carriers obsolete a secret. In military parades, he has presented later versions of the Dong-Feng with a range of 3,000 kilometers.

The reality is that Boris Johnson is not interested in declaring war on China. It is enough for him to warm the patriotic spirits of the Tory deputies who cannot explain how the prime minister could so quickly lose the support he obtained at the polls less than a year ago.

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Flights from Caracas to Bolivia, Iran, Turkey and Russia will open :: La Prensa de Lara

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Trumposo | Trade

Qualified insiders of the United States give us an idea of ​​what President Trump is. Nancy Isenberg, history teacher, author of White Trash: The Ignored 400 Years of American Social Class History: “This is Trump’s irony: he understands nothing about working people, he has never talked to them. He is a failed and indebted businessman. The reason a part of the white working class likes Trump is the way he talks: like an American tired of politics. Its rudeness makes it authentic. ” Something explains that opinion, although not everything, of how it achieves so much support. Miles Taylor, a former Homeland Security chief of staff, describes him as thoughtless, confrontational, mean and ineffective, “12-year-old boy in an air traffic control tower indiscriminately pressing buttons, indifferent to planes gliding down the runway ”. He was followed by harsh criticism from senior officials, including former Defense Secretary Mattis and national security adviser Bolton. Javier Solana, in an article in El País, says that Trump’s international action has undermined the prestige of his country and damaged international cooperation by proclaiming unilateralism and protectionism, confronting his European allies, supporting Brexit and weakening NATO. It abandoned the Kyoto Protocol and weakened the nuclear weapons control agreement. Withdrawn funding from WHO at the most critical moment of the pandemic. He believed Putin’s word before he believed his intelligence services. His impulsive and erratic policy benefited China and Russia, which have grown stronger at the expense of the United States. The failure of his populist policy in Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua, without advancing a millimeter in solving the problems, is because he only irresponsibly sought the votes of the recalcitrant, especially in Florida.

His handling of the pandemic makes his country the one with the highest number of deaths in the world. His first Secretary of the Environment was related to the production of pollutants. He tried to eliminate Obamacare, leaving the poorest unprotected. Inhumane to the children of immigrants. He doesn’t even hide his support for the White Supremacists.

He is also a bad loser. It tries, by all possible means, to deny, tarnishing it, the triumph of the candidate of the Democratic Party, declared the winner by obtaining a sufficient number of votes from the electoral college. He sows doubts about the electoral system of his country, decentralized and traditionally respected. He anticipated there would be fraud if he did not win. Most of the states where he claims are run by Republicans, who run the electoral systems, which amounts to spitting at the sky. The typical attitude of the cheater, who does not care about the truth or the institutions to achieve his purpose. Donald Trumposo.

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The pandemic hits Brexit: a positive interrupts face-to-face negotiations in the final stretch – Europa Directo

The outbreak of the pandemic forced face-to-face meetings to stop in spring. Even the EU’s chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, tested positive. The videoconference format dragged on for months, until both parties realized that the only way forward could be with face-to-face meetings where papers and notes could be exchanged. But even so, the main issues in contention have not finished being closed. There are only six weeks left until the United Kingdom makes its exit from the European Union effective and, to this day, there is still no agreement on the future relationship between London and the EU.

And just now, when time is running out, a positive among Barnier’s negotiating team has forced the negotiations to be interrupted this Thursday.

“One of the negotiators on my team has tested positive for COVID-19. With David Frost [el negociador jefe británico] we have decided to suspend negotiations at our level for a short period. The teams will continue their work in full compliance with the guidelines, ”said Barnier.

“I am in close contact with Michel Barnier”, said Frost: “The health of our teams comes first.”

“The Commission has informed us that an official in their delegation has tested positive for COVID-19,” said a British Government spokesman: “We are discussing the implications for the negotiations with them. We have been and will continue to act in accordance with public health guidelines to ensure the health and well-being of our teams.

After last week the negotiations took place in London, this Monday they had resumed in Brussels. “Me and our team have been in talks almost every day since October 22,” Frost said upon arrival: “We are working to reach an agreement, but the only possible is one that is compatible with our sovereignty and recovers the control of our laws, our commerce and our waters. That has been our constant position from the beginning and we will not change it. There has been some progress in a positive direction in recent days, although of course important elements have not yet been agreed. We will work to take advantage of them and reach a general agreement if possible. But we may not be successful. Either way, as Prime Minister Boris Johnson made clear on October 16, citizens and businesses must prepare for the change that is coming on December 31, whether there is an agreement or not.

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“We want our future cooperation to be open but fair across the board,” Barnier said. And what did he mean? To the main disputed issues: fisheries, the level playing field and the governance of the agreement. Apart from the fact that the United Kingdom continues to pretend to skip international law if it goes ahead with the bankruptcy of the Brexit withdrawal agreement in relation to the Irish protocol.

“Fishing is very complex, it affects several countries and not all in the same way,” a diplomatic source abounds, “and the 27 are also united in this. We know that the quotas cannot be the same before as after Brexit, but an agreement must be reached ».

“We have to find a solution that is sustainable”, say sources from the Spanish Government: “Fishing is a matter of sharing a very traditional fishing environment, very important, for some more than for others in social terms. But in terms of fishing it is important. We also have many cross interests. Both what we fish and what we receive from exports from the UK to our domestic fish market. Fishing is a very special world in which it is as important to fish as to buy the fish.

Regarding the issue of governance: “It is about avoiding the Swiss model”, says a diplomatic source in relation to the trade agreement with the Swiss Confederation: “A model that has proven to be very complicated to manage by the European Commission and by the States, in which having 25 different tables to address the relationship all it does is complicate the relationship and turn marketing into a kind of permanent policy. That can not be”.

“What has not been healthy is that Anglo-British debate that sovereignty does not consist in negotiating an agreement,” says a community source, “but in the other saying the same as you. That is a misunderstanding of what sovereignty is. When a government tells you at a negotiation table that it has made Brexit to be sovereign and immediately afterwards it tells you that since it is sovereign, what you have to do is what it tells you, because then it seems to me that there is a misunderstanding about what the sovereignty”.

What the positive has caused is a disruption of face-to-face conversations, which is the most fruitful format. However, for now, the talks continue, albeit virtually. Barnier must be quarantined but will remain “in permanent contact with David Frost,” say diplomatic sources. The rest of the negotiators who were not in contact with the infected person can continue the conversations, while the rest do so virtually.

What remains on the agenda is the meeting of the 27 ambassadors to the EU this Friday morning to discuss the status of the Brexit negotiations.

“As the prime minister has said,” explains a British source, “we have been totally clear that we want nothing more than a Canadian-style relationship based on free and fair trade. It has always been our preference to reach an agreement and we are working hard to achieve it, but only if we can reach one that is compatible with our sovereignty and thus regain control of our laws, our trade and our waters. That has been our constant position from the beginning and we will not change it.

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“If we cannot reach an agreement that fully respects the sovereignty of the United Kingdom, we will leave with a status like Australia has,” says the British source.

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Palestinians and a Democratic President in the White House

On November 17, 2020, the Palestinian Authority announced that it would restore security cooperation with Israel and agreed to receive the tax money that Israel had collected for them.

But for the near future, the prospects for the Palestinian Authority (PA) remain bleak. The Arab Spring changed priorities in the Middle East. Observers must be careful to avoid the common mistake of judging the PA’s perspectives through the dual vision of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, while the truest and broader assessment should be regional. Palestinians must make decisions with an eye toward their natural environment – the Sunni Arab world – and not Turkey, Iran, or the Shiite world in general. In this new reality, the Sunni Arabs are on the side of Israel and not the Palestinians.

What makes matters even worse for PA leader Mahmoud Abbas is that the Israeli-Arab Sunni alliance attracts European powers such as France due to Turkish-French tensions in the Mediterranean and its satellite war in Libya. President-elect Biden cannot ignore these real facts on the ground and dismiss them. What he can do is convince the PA and Israel to come back to the negotiating table, not to challenge the Sunni-Israeli Arab alliance, but to join the PA.

The PA’s hesitation in this regard is to lose Turkey and Iran as diplomatic cards to use and to be forced to rely on Qatar to balance the Gulf states and Saudi Arabia. During Trump’s tenure, this was not possible. In the Biden presidency, the PA hopes to be able to keep the Sunni world while keeping Turkey and Qatar aside, but not losing them. This is especially important to Mahmoud Abbas in defiance of political rival Mohammed Dahlan who lives in the United Arab Emirates. Relying only on the Gulf with no other cards to play means strengthening Dahlan loyalists in the West Bank [Cisjordania] and the Palestinian diaspora.

Abbas’s shuffling of letters with the bogus reconciliation talks in Turkey led by Qatari proxies, Jibril Rajoub (Fatah) and Salah Aruri (Hamas), was deemed anti-Trump. In the Sunni Arab world, however, the move was seen as dangerous.

Cooperation between Fatah and Hamas lit the Arab warning lights

The first Arab state to be alarmed by the talks between Fatah and Hamas was Jordan. The prospect of Hamas gaining power in the West Bank is a horror for the Hashemite Kingdom. Although the Muslim Brotherhood, of which Hamas is a subsidiary, is a legitimate power in Jordan – as a political party – Hamas is seen as the dangerous armed wing of the Muslim Brotherhood.

According to Palestinian sources, Jordan recently took advantage of the visit of an important American figure, who has the doors open from both Trump and Biden, to convince Mahmoud Abbas to withdraw from the course dictated by Hamas and return to the negotiating table with Israel. . The American promised to work with Biden, once elected, to renew talks with Israel. Apparently, Jordan also applied its diplomacy in Washington in this regard.

During the bogus talks between Rajoub’s Fatah and Aruri’s Hamas in Turkey, Mahmoud Abbas considered giving his approval to the elections with a joint Hamas and Fatah list, but not holding the elections, in order to give new relevance. to the long-forgotten and deviant “Palestinian problem.”

Negotiations on the terms of the PLO

On November 17, 2020, the PA announced that it would restore security cooperation between the PA and Israel, accept $ 100 million per month from taxes collected for them by Israel, and restore the salaries of public workers. With that, Abbas is signaling to the Biden administration his willingness to return to negotiations, but on the terms of the PLO. That includes the restoration of American aid, the repeal of Trump’s policies on Jerusalem and the US Embassy, ​​the 1967 borders, and a solution for Palestinian refugees.

Those maximalist bargaining points do not fit the new mood of Sunni Arab countries that prefer the “deal” approach and compromise on the borders in the West Bank rather than the PLO myth of “people’s struggle” – even as a “political struggle”. These Sunni countries accepted Trump’s measures regarding Jerusalem, but the issue of Jerusalem is very sensitive in the inter-Arab-Muslim struggles and deserves a separate examination.

One issue that worries Sunni Arab powers is the refocusing on human rights issues that Biden, like Obama, will almost certainly adopt. Concerned Saudi and Egyptian voices are already being heard.

The news that President Trump lost the election was greeted in Ramallah with relief, not so much because of the political prospects of resuming the peace talks, but because the Trump plan had overturned the PLO doctrine of the liberation of Palestine through the ” fight, “whether military or political. The path of “struggle” brought the Palestinians to a standstill; the “deal” path led to the normalization of the peace treaties between Israel and the Gulf states. Today, the term “peace” is associated with the Gulf and not with Palestine, and the incentive for Western leaders to invest in the Palestinian problem to win their Nobel prizes is drastically reduced.

Fuente: Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs

Pinhas Inbari is a veteran Arab affairs correspondent who previously reported for Israel Radio and the newspaper Al Hamishmar, and currently works as an analyst for the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs.

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