After consecutive defeats at the hands of Obama, the Republican party carried out an electoral autopsy. They came from losing the popular vote in the last five elections. As the Republican voter aged, Reagan’s party did not connect with a more diverse young voter. They had 34 out of 50 governorates, the pragmatism and restraint of the governors seemed the model to follow. A Social Conservatism that gave Bush the victory: seeking the Latino vote, strengthening the female vote, and denouncing inequality. Four years later none of this happened but the opposite. Trump showed up, broke all the rules, and won.
In the first presidential election, George Washington was the sole candidate, despite attempts to make him king of the United States. This revolutionary leader declined, accepted reelection alone, and retired to his estate on Mt. Vernon. Emulating Washington, no president sought more than one re-election until FDR won four in a row. After his death, a constitutional reform prohibited more than two terms. Technically, Trump is still alive by the year 2024.
For the second time the polls failed, Biden won, but it was tight. In the polls, the Democrat won Florida, North Carolina, and Texas: it did not happen. Their national victory that they said was 8% was 3%. If 72 thousand votes, only 0.04%, had voted differently in Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Georgia, everything would be different. In 2016, 100,000 votes in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan were. Without the economic impact of Covid, Trump had a chance to win. Trump’s score showed he has votes.
No Trumpist senator in a vulnerable state lost. Lindsey Graham won by 16% despite the $ 100 million that was donated to defeat him. Even Susan Collins won in Maine where Biden was victorious. In the chamber, Republicans have regained six seats. A resounding victory for Biden, not only had electoral consequences but for the future Republican. Republicans who looked like Trump won.
In the United States, former presidents do not participate in day-to-day politics. Beyond attending the convention of their parties and going to some campaign events, the tradition has been not to participate. It is likely that Trump will not give up and be active. Today the Republican party was made in his image. Not only did 93% of Republicans vote for him, but the party turned ideologically towards him. Mitch McConell and Kevin McCarthy back up his retelling claims. The base is with him, most likely he will aspire again.
Biden is a friend of Colombia, he was decisive for Plan Colombia. In Congress, strengthening budget support and the double taxation agreement are within reach. The relationship has to evolve beyond the coca planting data or our usefulness to invade Venezuela. If Biden legalizes cannabis, there is a lot to rethink.
Despite the uproar over our alleged meddling in US politics, we forget that the US president got into Colombian domestic politics. Even attacking Colombian politicians for their electoral benefit. If Trump is going to be rolling and with a chance to return in four years, we have to be more sophisticated than ever.