Are we coming to a different choice? The official position of the Labor leadership remains that the best way out of Brexit chaos is a new electoral contest, and an increasing number of Conservative MPs believe it needs another election to repair the mess.

It has become customary to say that a poll "sometimes changes nothing", but not exclusively, to proponents of a second referendum who also believe that the only way to end the sack is to weigh the British public to move.

However, this is not true: an election could change the Brexit crisis in different ways. Most obviously, with every Labor win, it's a bit easier to say goodbye to a Brexit deal – the number of Labor MPs willing to think about a no-deal exit is two, and to my knowledge there is no potential parliamentary candidate The 99 seats where Labor does not support a deal have already been selected by Labor as flag bearer. The number of Conservative MPs already in parliament Anyone who is prepared to think about no deal is much higher than two. There are no seats that Labor could plausibly gain from the Conservative Party, which does not make it easier to reach a Brexit deal.

In Northern Ireland, any other elective political party backs up, so that losses by the DUP also facilitate the adoption of a Brexit agreement, either by directly adding the pack of deputies ready to support an agreement or, if it is the DUP Lose seats at Sinn Féin by reducing the number of votes needed to make a mistake, as Sinn Féin does not take their seats.

However, the risk of a vote is that while these results make the achievement of an agreement more likely, they do not degrade Brexit's stalemate on almost all other outcomes. Even with an election without net profits, it is possible – perhaps even likely – that not every Conservative Member of Parliament who supports a form of the Brexit Agreement will be readmitted by its local parties. Moreover, in an early election, all three former Conservative MPs who joined the Independent Group would certainly lose their seats, and in two cases (Sarah Wollaston and Heidi Allen) they will certainly be replaced by the Conservatives, who certainly support one Deal, be it through genuine ideological engagement or because of the pressures of their local parties.

All of the profits made by the SNP will be on an explicitly Brexit-targeted platform, and many members of their party believe it is "impossible" for them to support a Brexit as their voters are firmly opposed and thus defused If your main strategic argument is that Brexit represents a sufficient change, another referendum on Scotland's relations with the European Union must take place.

As for the Liberal Democrats, any gain from this party will be made on a platform explicitly against the Brexit, making it difficult for them to support any Brexit flavor without a deal. But the problem is that even though replacing a Tory MP with a Labor team will make it easier to say goodbye to a Brexit deal, it does not mean it will be easier to say goodbye to a second referendum, just like in the previous one existing parliamentary Labor Party, many working candidates are agnostic or oppose a new referendum.

But these problems are nothing for the conservative side. For Labor, the road to solving the Brexit crisis is theoretically light enough – they just need to win a parliamentary majority of 20 or more votes. In practice, this may be quite difficult, but at least theoretically achievable. The difficulty for the Conservatives is that their parliamentary candidates throughout the country have similar views on Brexit as their current deputies – that is, they are badly divided, perhaps incompatible. Increasing the number of Tory MPs does not really solve this essential problem.

Therefore, it is not really correct to say that a choice would not change anything. Increasing the number of MEPs and / or reducing the number of DUP members will make it easier to complete a Brexit deal, but it is still very difficult to end Brexit. Increasing the number of SNP, Plaid Cymru or Liberal Democrats makes it easier to stop Brexit but more difficult to say goodbye to a Brexit deal. Increasing the number of Conservative MPs increases the chances that it will continue to stall and no agreement will be reached.

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