The British NATO military are building tracking systems in Ochakovo, Ukraine. “Britain with the hands of Ukraine can arrange a provocation. This is part of a systemic process, a new creation of the Cold War,” military expert Boris Rozhin comments on the situation.
In Ukraine, British military specialists are creating a hydroacoustic tracking system in Ochakovo, according to public figure Aleksey Selivanov. Boris Rozhin, editor-in-chief of the information-analytical center “Kassad”, explained what is happening.
According to him, the British are deploying a real NATO intelligence base in Ukrainian Ochakovo. And they need a sonar tracking system to keep track of all movements of the Russian Black Sea Fleet.
We can say that the NATO forces are gradually being transported, which hope to stay in Ukraine for a long time and will pursue a course towards the gradual deployment of their infrastructure.
He added that what NATO is doing in Ukraine cannot be called conventional military exercises. In fact, this is only a formal cover to ensure the permanent presence of the alliance forces on Ukrainian territory.
Britain with the hands of Ukraine can arrange a provocation. This is part of the systemic process, the new creation of the Cold War, we are seeing this now on the territory of Ukraine,
– said Boris Rozhin.
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Russia has two loyal allies – the army and the navy, which will not allow anyone to dominate the Black Sea. This opinion with FAN shared a well-known Russian military expert, captain of the first rank of the reserve Vasily Dandykin.
The Times, citing sources in the British Navy, reported that the destroyer and anti-submarine frigate of the Royal Navy of Great Britain will enter the Black Sea in May in solidarity with Ukraine. The Turkish Foreign Ministry confirmed that London has sent Ankara a notification that its ships will pass through the Bosphorus to the Black Sea in the first week of May.
The Russian Foreign Ministry believes that the entry of British warships into the Black Sea is aimed at intimidating the Russian Federation, in addition, the West is trying to influence Moscow’s course. At the same time, the department recalled the Montreux Convention, which determines the maximum number and mass of ships of non-Black Sea countries, which can simultaneously be in the Black Sea.
Readers of the British newspaper Times commented on the decision of the authorities to send warships to the Black Sea. Opinions were divided. Some say that Crimea is a suitable place for war, others that sending ships to Russian shores is a stupid idea, since Britain will not dare to use them anyway, and Moscow is well aware of this.
“Crimea is generally a suitable place for war,” says the user under the nickname Disgusted Tunbridge Wells.
“It seems to me that our five ships should be in the English Channel and patrol our shores. Rule Britain over the seas, ”said David Grant.
royalnavy.mod.uk  / The Royal Navy website
Military expert Vasily Dandykin, in an interview with the Federal News Agency, commented on the UK’s decision to send warships to the Black Sea to support Ukraine. The specialist recalled that the elite of British society died in the battle of Balaklava.
“This is the expected reaction from UK residents. Probably, in part, every Englishman has a nostalgia for the British Empire. They honor their colonial traditions, which are also associated with Crimea. There are many places on the peninsula where the British were. I want to remind you that the elite of British society, including a relative, died in the battle of Balaklava. Winston Churchill… But in England there are also descendants of The Beatles who advocated world peace. They understand that the cruise of the British ships will not end with anything – they will walk around and go home. If the British have decided to go to the shores of the Crimea, then they need to remember the Yalta Conference. The world is still holding on to the decisions that were made at this meeting, ”said the FAN interlocutor.
News agency “Kharkov”  /
Also, the captain of the first rank of the reserve told how Russia will respond to the uninvited guests of NATO in the Black Sea. According to him, the Black Sea Fleet is the sole master in the Black Sea region and will not allow anyone to dominate here.
“Unfortunately, Britain nevertheless decided to send two of its ships to the Black Sea, following in the wake of the Americans. I think that with each such campaign, more and more people in the UK will look negatively at the actions of their authorities. Now the country already has a lot of problems associated with Brexit, pandemic, internal separatism of Scotland, Northern Ireland and so on. But for some reason, the British authorities are confident that these two ships, which they sent to the Black Sea, can somehow influence Russia, that, they say, after that the country will become more accommodating. Those days have already passed. If in 1999 the change in the course of Russia and the growth of Russian self-awareness were a timid bell, today there are loud battle bells, which indicate that our country has two loyal allies – the army and the navy. They will not allow anyone to dominate the Black Sea. In my opinion, the Black Sea Fleet is the master there, and all [остальные] – only uninvited guests, ”summed up Vasily Dandykin.
Earlier, the Federal News Agency reported that Sohu analysts have revealed how Moscow will respond to US provocations near Russian borders.
On April 10, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, after a meeting with his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelensky, expressed support for Kiev’s plans for the return of Crimea. “While it is unlikely that we will resolve the differences with Ukrainians on this issue, we hope that our consistent policy will allow us to convince our Turkish partners that their position is totally wrong with regard to Crimea, “Peskov said in a press appearance. Regarding high-level Turkish-Ukrainian contacts, the Kremlin spokesman emphasized that “Turkey has a sovereign right to articulate relations with neighboring countries.” Crimea split from Ukraine in March 2014 following the coup that plunged the country into chaos and violence. Ukrainian authorities continue to consider the peninsula as a “provisionally occupied” territory, while from Russia they emphasize that the issue “is definitively settled.” On the other hand, eastern Ukraine continues to bleeding to this day with sporadic armed confrontations between the troops of the Government of Kiev and the militias of Donetsk and Luhansk, two regions that proclaimed themselves people’s republics.
MOSCOW (Sputnik) – The Moscow government hopes Turkey will rethink its position on Crimea, the Black Sea peninsula that split from Ukraine in 2014 in a referendum to join Russia, Kremlin spokesman Dmitri Peskov said.
On April 10, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, after a meeting with his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelensky, expressed support for Kiev’s plans for the return of Crimea.
“While it is unlikely that we will resolve disagreements with the Ukrainians on this issue, we hope that our consistent policy will allow us to convince our Turkish partners that their position is totally incorrect on Crimea,” Peskov said in a press appearance.
Regarding high-level Turkish-Ukrainian contacts, the Kremlin spokesman emphasized that “Turkey has a sovereign right to articulate relations with neighboring countries.”
Crimea split from Ukraine in March 2014 following the coup that plunged the country into chaos and violence.
Imperial illusions: could the Turks devour Crimea and the rest of southern Russia?
The Ukrainian authorities continue to consider the peninsula as a “provisionally occupied” territory, while from Russia they emphasize that the issue “is definitively settled”.
On the other hand, the Ukrainian east continues to bleed to this day with sporadic armed clashes between the troops of the Kiev government and the militias of Donetsk and Luhansk, two regions that proclaimed themselves people’s republics.
US Charge d’Affaires to Ukraine Christina Queen and British Ambassador Melinda Simmons confirmed that Washington and London support Ukraine in its opposition to Russian aggression. The heads of the diplomatic missions of the United States and the United Kingdom announced this during a meeting with the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Alexei Danilov in Kiev on Tuesday, April 13.
“Together we support Ukraine, which is facing provocations from Russia,” said a statement posted on the US Embassy’s Twitter page.
The conversation with the diplomats and Danilov from the embassy was called thorough.
Substantive discussion with NSDC Secretary Danilov and UK Ambassador Simmons. We stand together in support of Ukraine as it faces provocations from Russia. pic.twitter.com/JxE8ZBUSBq
See also: The main topic of the upcoming meeting of Zelensky and Macron was named on Bankova
Russia is pulling troops to the border with Ukraine under the guise of preparing for the West-2021 exercises. Simultaneously Russian contingents have become more active in Belarus, occupied Crimea, Transnistria and the Black and Azov Seas. Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Ruslan Khomchakspeaking on March 30 in the Verkhovna Rada, pointed out the high likelihood of a Russian invasion.
Ukrainian military intelligence announced the preparation of large-scale provocations by the Russians, aggravation in the JFO zone, attempts to expand the occupation zone in Donbass with a possible invasion in other areas.
US Army European Command has put troops on alert, and NATO ambassadors have held an emergency session.
Official speakers of the Russian Federation began to threaten Ukraine “Irreversible consequences” and “the beginning of the end.” Ukraine held consultations with the USA, France, Germany, Turkey, Greece and other countries. Federal Chancellor of Germany Angela Merkel, during a conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin, urged him to de-escalate, but the Kremlin kept silent about it.
On April 9, a series of telephone conversations took place between the US Secretary of State and the Foreign Ministers of Ukraine, Germany and France. Anthony Blinken called Germany and France to more actively support Ukraine… And also assured escalation of aggression against Ukraine is fraught with consequences for Russia.
Member States OSCE condemned the Kremlin’s actions… Foreign ministers G7 urged Russia to stop provocations on the border, and also noted the restraint of Ukraine.
April 16 US President Joe Biden, during a telephone conversation with Vladimir Putin, urged him to de-escalate and offered to meet in the coming months.
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said that over the past three weeks, two armies and three airborne units were deployed to the western borders, that is, to the borders with Ukraine. Eyewitnesses shoot footage of equipment of the RF Armed Forces in the border regions of the Federation.
On April 8, the press secretary of the White House Jen Psaki spoke about the fact that the largest number of Russian troops has now been concentrated near the borders with Ukraine since the beginning of the conflict in Donbass.
By creating tension in the region, Russian President Vladimir Putin actually forced US President Joe Biden to call him. The telephone conversation took place on April 13, and in the near future their face-to-face meeting is possible. What and why Russia is doing, as well as what kind of meeting can lead to de-escalation, the head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine from 2005 to 2010, General of the Army of Ukraine, told Telegraph Nikolai Malomuzh.
“Russia is working out its scenario for the implementation of the Minsk agreements. It was not possible to organize this by putting pressure on Ukraine through France and Germany – partners in the Normandy format, the pressure intensified. And at all. After all, a fire that can flare up frightens Europe. The stakes in the geopolitical confrontation are growing, ”the general emphasizes.
In his opinion, Russia is trying to convince the collective West that Ukraine, Belarus, Georgia and other regions of the former USSR are its zone of interests. And “outsiders” are not allowed to enter there.
“Propaganda and diplomatic pressure do not really work anymore. Everyone understands who they are dealing with. And so now they have relied on a military threat, – explains Nikolai Malomuzh. – There is a concentration of troops, and a demonstrative one. Calls to reduce the intensity of passions are demonstratively ignored. Readiness for a real, big war is shown. Which, of course, no one in their right mind wants. In parallel, the development of models of agreements is under way. By raising the stakes, the Kremlin hopes to negotiate the Donbass from a position that is convenient for itself – in fact, a federal structure through a “special status”, elections under the control of the Russian Federation. Such an enclave ruled by Russia, but decoratively belonging to Ukraine. “
The general is confident that Russia is seeking concessions in exchange for defusing tensions. They say, she will withdraw the troops, she will not attack (although it would hardly have dared to do so), if the number of NATO ships in the Black Sea decreases as much as possible, if the situation in Donbass is resolved according to the Kremlin scenario, if Crimea is forgotten, and so on …
“Threatening dangerous scenarios, up to the cold and hot war, the Russian Federation hopes to force the US, EU, Great Britain to make concessions. Including at the expense of Ukraine, – says Mykola Malomuzh. – There are diplomatic games – Putin’s negotiations with a number of European leaders, with the President of Turkey. Now he’s forced Biden to call. There are information attacks, with constant messages in the style of “Ukraine is about to attack CADLO”, “Ukraine does not comply with the Minsk agreements and the Paris communiqué,” “Ukraine is shelling CADLO”. In parallel, the aggravation in Donbass created by the hands of the Russians and the concentration of troops near our borders. Demonstrative saber-rattling and loud statements. Coercion to negotiate on Russian terms. Putin’s message to the Federal Assembly is scheduled for April 21. And although his press secretary, Peskov, assures that it will be devoted to issues of covid and its consequences, I do not exclude that the head of the Kremlin will present a new strategy a la Russia is rising from its knees. And it will continue to shape the image of an external enemy – from Ukraine, the United States, NATO. Like, surrounded by enemies and under the blows of the crown-crisis of the Russian Federation will still rise, revive “
The general believes that the situation will continue to escalate. Until Putin forces other global players, as he has already forced the United States, to consult with him.
“I think the pool of negotiators will include the United States, Britain, Turkey, China, Japan. Perhaps all the G20 countries. First, unofficially, and then at the official level, they will discuss how to get out of the crisis situation, from the prerequisites for war. I do not exclude the possibility that new formats for the existence of the world and new spheres of influence will be developed. And Ukraine must be represented during these negotiations – with its own interests, with its own “road maps”. We are at the forefront of a threat, at the forefront of a possible major war. And we must present our vision of the situation, ”emphasizes Mykola Malomuzh.
Why Russia is escalating the situation near the borders of Ukraine and in the Donbass, and also avoiding a meeting in the Normandy format, the former intelligence officer Andriy Rymaruk explained to Telegraph. Political analyst and historian Valery Solovey is confident that a full-scale war with Ukraine will lead Russia to complete disaster.
Journalist Dmitry Gordon expressed the opinion that Russia will not go on the offensive against Ukraine, and all the maneuvers of Russian troops on the border are nothing more than attempts to bargain with the West.
After unsubstantiated allegations that the Kremlin sent heavy artillery to the border between the two countries, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenski spoke with his American counterpart, Joe Biden. In addition, the Ukrainian Foreign Minister spoke with his counterparts from the United Kingdom and Germany. All support the Ukrainian position, while Russia warns that it would take “additional measures” if NATO deploys military in the area.
Since Ukraine denounced that Russia was sending troops to the Donbass border region, the tension has been rekindled that has not ceased since the Kremlin annexed Crimea to Russian territory. Unverified images circulating on social media suggest that Russia has been moving large quantities of tanks, armored personnel carriers and other equipment.
Although the Russian government has denied the allegations and says it is only supporting rebels who want Ukraine’s independence, the latter country has accelerated its diplomatic bridges in search of support.
This Friday, April 2, Dmytro Kuleba, Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs, spoke separately with his counterparts from the United Kingdom and Germany. They both backed Ukraine.
Following the phone call, British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab said his country was “very concerned about the Russian military activity threatening Ukraine” and reaffirmed the UK’s support for “sovereignty and territorial integrity” of the United Kingdom. Ukrainians.
I reaffirmed UK support for Ukraine’s sovereignty & territorial integrity in my call with @DmytroKuleba today. We are gravely concerned about Russian military activity which threatens Ukraine #CrimeaisUkraine
The topics of conversation were what has happened in Crimea and Donbass. The first territory was the one that Russia annexed in 2014, despite the fact that countries such as the United States and the 27 of the European Union consider this move as illegal and assure that Ukraine is the one that has sovereignty over the sector.
On the other hand, Donbass brings together the Donetsk and Luhansk territories. There are separatists there who want the independence of Ukraine and who are supported by Russia. Both Donbass and Crimea is where the Russians are supposedly deploying their artillery, although the Kremlin denounces that the Ukrainian government is planning an attack in those places.
Kuleba denied that position, at the same time that he discussed the call with the British secretary. “Big call with Dominic Raab about Russia’s escalation in Donbass and Crimea, as well as their propaganda spreading forgeries of ‘Ukraine plans escalation.’ Ukraine does not seek escalation. Ukraine seeks peace and the end of the occupation of its territories by political-diplomatic means, “he said on his Twitter account.
Great call with @DominicRaab on Russia’s escalation in the Donbas & Crimea, as well as its propaganda spreading fakes of ‘Ukraine planning an escalation’. Ukraine doesn’t seek escalation. Ukraine seeks peace & an end to occupation of its territories by political-diplomatic means.
In addition to seeking the support of the United Kingdom, the Ukrainian minister advanced negotiations with Germany and, in the middle of it, spoke with Heiko Maas, German Foreign Minister.
The result was that the German office gave a boost to the Ukrainian government. “We are closely monitoring the situation on the Ukraine-Russia border. We agree with Ukraine that reducing escalation is now crucial so as not to jeopardize the ceasefire, ”the entity announced after the call.
📞 – We are closely monitoring the situation at the border between 🇺🇦 and 🇷🇺. We agree with Ukraine that de-escalation is now crucial, in order not to put at risk the ceasefire. – FM @HeikoMaas in a call with his 🇺🇦 counterpart @DmytroKuleba today
The conversation between the presidents of Ukraine and the United States
But those were not the only steps that the Ukrainian Administration carried out this Friday. The president of the European country, Volodímir Zelenski, explained that he spoke with his American counterpart, Joe Biden, for 50 minutes.
After the call, Zelenski assured that Washington and Kiev “stand shoulder to shoulder when it comes to the preservation of our democracies.” And as with the ministers, Donbass was at the center of the dialogues. “We discussed the situation in Donbass in detail. President Biden assured me that Ukraine will never be left alone in the face of Russian aggression, ”added the Ukrainian leader.
Indeed, the White House endorsed that position and, in an official statement, said that “President Biden affirmed America’s unwavering support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity in the face of Russia’s ongoing aggression in Donbass and Crimea.”
Biden’s public endorsement of Zelenski marks a turnaround in the new US foreign policy, after former President Donald Trump showed a close relationship with the Kremlin and resisted calls inside and outside his country that put pressure on Putin. for the alleged interference of his Government in the elections of the United States and in other countries such as Ukraine.
Instead, Biden not only shows a distancing from Russia but openly supports the Ukrainian government. The US president even launched an unprecedented accusation by pointing out, in mid-March, that he considers Putin a “murderer.”
Moscow’s fury was manifested with the withdrawal of its ambassador from the US capital and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov responded that relations between his country and Washington have “hit rock bottom.”
Russia responds: if NATO deploys troops, the country would take “additional measures”
For its part, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) gave a boost to the Zelensky government, given what it called “recent large-scale military activities by Russia in and around Ukraine.”
“NATO continues to support the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. We remain attentive and continue to closely monitor the situation ”, according to sources from the organization who this Friday reported on the main conclusions of the North Atlantic Council meeting held the day before. On Thursday, NATO discussed the possible increase in violence in Donbass.
Faced with all these pronouncements, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov responded with more accusations towards Ukraine. At a news conference on Friday, Peskov assured that the situation on the line of contact in eastern Ukraine between the Ukrainian government forces and the Russian-backed separatist forces was quite terrifying and that multiple “provocations” were taking place there.
In addition, Peskov warned that if NATO deploys its military troops in the area, it would generate more tensions in the border regions and this would force Russia to take “additional measures”.
“There is increased activity on the perimeter of Russia’s borders by NATO, other alliances, individual countries … everything forces us to be vigilant,” said Peskov.
This joins the statements that the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov had already given, who assured that the United States was behind the tensions. “I am very hopeful that (the Ukrainian military) will not be ‘incited’ by politicians, who in turn will be ‘incited’ by the West, led by the United States,” Lavrov said.
On March 30, Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke with his German and French counterparts, Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Emmanuel Macron. The Kremlin explained that in that conversation, the Russian leader “emphasized that it is important that Kiev implement all the previous agreements” and resolve the legal aspects for a special status for Donbass.
In addition, Putin called for a direct dialogue with the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. And again he pointed to Ukraine as responsible for the escalation. “The Russian leader expressed his serious concern about the escalation of the armed confrontation on the line of contact caused by Ukraine and his refusal to implement the additional measures to strengthen the ceasefire coordinated by the Trilateral Contact Group in July 2020.” says the statement.
On previous occasions, Russia claimed that they are only taking measures to ensure the security of their own borders and that they are really Russian volunteers who want to help the Donbass separatists. A version that the United States, United Kingdom, Germany and Ukraine reject outright.
For more than six years, in eastern Ukraine, Russian-backed separatists have been fighting Ukrainian forces. Kiev is reported to have killed at least 14,000 people since the annexation of Crimea. But Russia denies having a military presence there and rejects all the accusations.
British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab assured that the United Kingdom is in solidarity with Ukraine, and also expressed confidence that any attempts by Russia to go to a large-scale military escalation will have grave consequences for it. About it the British minister said during a conversation with Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba on Friday, April 2, reported in MID.
The interlocutors discussed the strengthening of cooperation between the two countries in the field of security against the background of the aggravation provoked by the Russian Federation.
Kuleba informed his British colleague about the exacerbation of the situation in Donbass, the military activity of the Russian occupiers in Crimea, as well as the large-scale disinformation and propaganda campaign of the Kremlin against Ukraine.
“Russian propaganda does not abandon its attempts to impose a delusion about some alleged plans of Ukraine to carry out some kind of military action or provocation. This is complete nonsense. Ukraine has never sought and does not seek escalation, Ukraine has always sought and is striving for peace, ”the minister stressed.
See also: The Pentagon is concerned about the escalation of the situation in Donbass
Note that today took place long-awaited conversation between the presidents of Ukraine and the United States, Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Joe Biden… Defense Minister of Ukraine Andrey Taran talked to his British colleague with Ben Wallaceand yesterday by the head of the Pentagon, Lloyd Austin. The US Secretary of Defense assured that The United States will not leave Ukraine alone with Russia c in case of military escalation. The intensification of international contacts with Western partners is taking place against the background of aggravation in the JFO zone and pulling Russian troops to the Ukrainian border and the strengthening of the contingent in the occupied Crimea under the pretext of exercises. According to military intelligence, the Russian Federation is preparing provocations against Ukraine, it is possible that we are talking about preparations for an offensive in Donbass.
Over the past weeks, significant events have taken place in and around Ukraine, which, perhaps, will determine our future for years to come. Commentators actively talk and write about them. However, the proposed interpretations do not seem to convey the true scale and meaning of the changes taking place before our eyes.
The leading Western states are determined with an official positioning in the new situation. On March 3, the new US administration released the Temporary National Security Strategies (Interim National Security Strategic Guidance“We are dealing with a world where nationalism is growing, democracy is retreating, rivalry with China, Russia and other authoritarian states is increasing, as well as a technological revolution that is transforming all aspects of our life,” the authors of the document note.
They emphasize the transnational nature of most threats and state that the world is entering the process of forming a new order. Emphasis is placed on competition with the PRC and Russia’s attempts to increase its importance by playing a destructive role in the world arena.
The US administration refuses isolationism, relies on strengthening alliances, work in international institutions and strengthening of relative advantages. The key task is the political, economic and social improvement of the state.
According to British strategists, the modern world is developing under the influence of four main groups of factors. Among them:
geopolitical and geoeconomic shifts – the growing role of China and the importance of the Indo-Pacific region, as well as other emerging markets;
systemic competition – increasing competition between different states and non-state actors;
rapid technological changetransforming societies;
transit calls – climate change, global health challenges, shadow finance, organized crime and terrorism.
The Russian Federation, despite the curtsey of the authors of the report to the Russian people, is an immediate and acute threat along with Iran and North Korea. The UK government is declaring Russia a de facto rogue state.
Incidentally, we note that, unlike the Americans, the British twice remembered Ukraine, offering their participation in the construction of Ukrainian defense capabilities.
Western leaders now consider it advisable not to use expressions in relation to the Russian leader. So, on March 17, US President Joe Biden publicly called Vladimir Putin a hitman. After that, even the most ardent supporters of a new “reset” lost hope for an improvement in US-Russian relations.
This step can hardly be considered accidental. It doesn’t matter if it was just a slip of the tongue used to demonstrate a position, or a premeditated action. Now a comprehensive agreement, about which much has been said, is unlikely. At least for the period while Biden is in charge of the White House, and Putin is in the Kremlin.
Although (quite in a modern style) the Americans insist that confrontational zones – both geographic and sectoral – will border on zones of cooperation, such as limiting strategic nuclear weapons or fighting a pandemic. Non-public consultations on all issues of bilateral interest will also continue.
Relations between the United States and the Russian Federation are likely to worsen. And, despite the deep reluctance and even undisguised aversion to the radical deterioration of relations with the Russian Federation, the EU and its leading states are forced to take part in it.
The answer of the head of Russian diplomacy to the question of new European sanctions against Russians at a press conference in Beijing with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang I. Sergey Lavrov once again accused the EU of destroying the infrastructure of relations is indicative. At the same time, he stressed the readiness of the Russian Federation to build them up if Brussels wants to overcome the “anomaly” in bilateral relations.
A likely key zone of exacerbation of relations between the West and the Russian Federation has also been identified. As expected, it becomes the territory of the former USSR. The syndrome of June 22 (according to the conviction of Russian, and not only, strategists, it was size that saved the USSR in 1941, the Germans did not manage to take Moscow before winter) is working: the Kremlin is persistently implementing a policy of creating a buffer territory free from threats to itself.
Speaking on March 18 at a rally in Moscow dedicated to the 7th anniversary of the seizure of Crimea, Putin again spoke about the sacred significance of the peninsula for Russia. But it is much more important that he once again made the territorial integrity of Russia’s neighbors dependent on the state of relations with the Russian Federation.
Complaints about “unclear reasons for the transfer of Russian territories by the Bolsheviks” and the conditional recognition of the current borders by the behavior of neighbors with direct quotes from the Russian Foreign Policy Concept are a threat not only for Ukraine, but also for Belarus, Kazakhstan, even the Baltic countries. The paradoxical logic of the Russian strategy – to attract with threats – does not work very well. But the Kremlin is relentless: as they decided, it will be so. Especially if the internal situation in Russia needs new foreign policy successes and victories over eternal (and not only) enemies.
The short period of Russian hopes for Vladimir Zelenskiy’s compliance is over. In the Russian Federation, they were once again convinced that the matter is not in the name of the president of Ukraine, it is in the most modern Ukraine.
And therefore, among all its neighbors, the leadership of the Russian Federation only recently publicly declared Ukraine an enemy state and a “geopolitical project of Russia’s enemies.” So, the Moscow bell first of all rings for us.
The British, like the Americans, in the already mentioned report, admitted that the main competitor of the West is the People’s Republic of China. This is the case when geopolitical competition is logically complemented by ideological one: China is a clear embodiment of successful authoritarianism.
But although the very tough document of the Donald Trump administration, US Strategic Approach to the People’s Republic of China, was removed from the White House website, competition between states continues. This is evidenced by the exchange of unusually non-diplomatic statements on March 19 at the summit with the participation of senior foreign policy officials of the United States and China in Anchorage (Alaska, USA). However, the summit itself also testifies to the persistent search for compromises by both large states.
It is between the United States and China that the main axis of competition in today’s world is being formed. Informal coalitions are gradually being formed around these states.
Despite years of efforts to maintain uncertainty, Ukraine in 2021 has clearly and unequivocally decided on the camp. Question Motor Sich sales has gone too far in seven years. And sooner or later, direct questions must be answered directly. Especially when the Americans and the Chinese ask them.
The reaction of the strategic partner did not slow down – the Chinese business delegation visited the occupied Crimea.
Competition between the United States and China is intensifying. International tensions are on the rise. The EU is gradually joining Washington’s position on China. And here the role of Russia is very interesting. At the already mentioned meeting in Beijing, S. Lavrov and Wang Yi made a statement in which they outlined a common vision of the development of the modern world by authoritarian states. The text offers an interpretation of human rights, democracy, international law and multilateral cooperation. In other words, the PRC and the Russian Federation are trying to redefine the key concepts of the vocabulary of Western diplomacy.
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
In general, the PRC is pushing the Russian Federation to the first line of confrontation with the West, demonstrating in contrast its moderate position and negotiability. Both states are trying to use each other. However, everyone is more or less satisfied. An absolute win-win for the participants in the game. Of course, China is more powerful than Russia, its leadership is more confident, therefore, the PRC’s successes are much greater.
Everything, in general, is clear. In addition to the joy of many Ukrainians because of the exacerbation between the United States and the Russian Federation. It is very important to realize that confrontation between the United States and the Russian Federation does not automatically mean an increase in real aid to Ukraine.
Russia is not the USSR; Washington’s stakes in confrontation with it are not so big. We are not talking about a cold war. And for our wobbly boat, no wind is good.
Ukraine is the best place for Russian demonstrations, including military ones. With a high probability, it will start in Donbass. And then – how it goes. It is possible that the Russians and the lack of water in the Crimea are used as a pretext for action.
The internal situation is also fleeting. Coming to the fore, the NSDC made a number of high-profile decisions at its traditional Friday meetings. And it’s not just about limiting Russian influence, although this is extremely important. Equally important is the fact that pro-Russian forces seem untenable in the short term to defend their vital interests with their own hands.
However, it is fundamentally that the rules of the game in the Ukrainian elite are changing rapidly again, or rather, rapidly evaporating. Now you can potentially have a lot and even more power. A tactically complete and irrefutable victory.
At the same time, a powerful tool of extrajudicial restrictions has been created: the inviolable, at least potentially, really no longer exist. Everyone is equal. And yesterdays, and those who will become the former tomorrow.
In this whole story, the most important thing is to stop on your own, not getting carried away by the process and managing not to succumb to its internal logic. So far, almost no one in history has succeeded in doing this in time.
There is also an important foreign policy dimension in the history of sanctions. The expansion of the toolkit strengthens our position in the confrontation with Russia, but also allows, if necessary, to clearly demonstrate our significant differences from the states of Europe, in particular in the plane of observance of the principle of the rule of law. Although it is better to remain silent about our judicial system. So, the overdue intensification of the struggle against Russian influence in our case does not mean an approach to the EU and NATO. And, consequently, Ukraine is consolidated in the “gray” zone between the West and the Russian Federation.
Of course, we are not talking about European and Euro-Atlantic rhetoric. There will be a hell of a lot of it, over time – more and more. Because there is nothing more humane than talking about dreams, the realization of which is distant.
Thus, the confrontation between the United States and the Russian Federation is rapidly escalating against the background of increasing competition between the West and the PRC. This directly concerns Ukraine, the international situation around which is becoming more and more complicated. Meanwhile, the coronavirus pandemic continues and weakens the ability of an already weak state to adequately respond to external challenges.
In principle, the recipes have long been understood, but in order to achieve success today, it is necessary to move much faster than we have moved until now. These include, in particular:
stepping up preparation, primarily defensive and security, for a serious escalation of relations with the Russian Federation. At the same time, it is important to try not to create a pretext for Russian provocations on our own;
strengthening national resilience;
clearly formulating our request to the United States and its allies;
positive development of relations with neighbors – now is the worst time for their destruction.
However, in the end, we should recall the thought of the philosopher K. Popper about the unpredictable consequences of our conscious and purposeful actions. The best theoretical constructions during their practical implementation can transform beyond recognition and lead to absolutely unexpected results. And this applies not only to Ukraine, although it is in the first place. It is not without reason that almost the main characteristic of the modern fickle world is its fundamental unpredictability.
Read more articles by Sergei Nemyrych at the link.
This position was expressed by the UK representative in the Organization during an informal meeting at the UN on Crimea using the “Arria” formula, an Ukrinform correspondent reports.
“The illegal occupation of Crimea by the Russian Federation violates the very first principle of international law: countries cannot seize territory or change borders by force,” the British diplomat said.
He stressed that the position of the United Kingdom remains clear: “We have never recognized and will not recognize the illegal occupation of Crimea by Russia.” The British representative also stressed that the actions of the Russian Federation completely violate the UN Charter, as well as a large number of bilateral and multilateral agreements.
“The United Kingdom strongly condemns Russian aggression against Ukraine and reiterates its full support for Ukraine’s independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity.
The British diplomat called on Russia to comply with the decisions of the UN General Assembly, in particular, regarding the provision of access to the peninsula for representatives of the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights. “It is unacceptable that millions of Crimeans remain outside the UN monitoring mechanism,” the British diplomat emphasized.
He also expressed concern about the ongoing persecution in Crimea of representatives of ethnic and religious minorities, especially against the Crimean Tatars.
“We call on Russia to immediately release more than a hundred illegally detained political prisoners,” a British spokesman said.
He concluded his speech with the words: “Crimea is Ukraine”.
As Ukrinform reported earlier, the Russian delegation to the UN organized an informal meeting on Wednesday according to the “Arria” formula on the situation in Crimea… The representatives of Western countries who spoke at the event declared their strong support for the sovereignty and independence of Ukraine and called on Russia to end its aggression and return control of Crimea to Ukraine.
“For us [Moscú y Ankara] such issues such as Crimea do not exist, “Peskov told reporters. The spokesman stressed that Russia continues to” patiently explain its position “on Crimea even though it” does not accept Turkey’s position “on the matter.” We are convinced that sooner or later our Turkish colleagues and partners will understand the validity and rationale of the position of the Russian Federation, “said Peskov. Russia, he added, appreciates Turkey’s political will to find compromises on the most important issues. The spokesman indicated that the two countries have close interaction on almost all regional issues, including Syria and Nagorno Karabakh. In addition, Peskov highlighted progress in the economic-trade relations of Russia and Turkey, describing as “fundamental” the cooperation in this area. Crimea split from Ukraine and rejoined Russia after holding a March 2014 referendum in which the overwhelming majority of voters – more than 96% – endorsed this option, in resp Oppose the violent change of government in Kiev. Moscow has repeatedly stated that the people of Crimea, democratically and in full compliance with international law and the United Nations Charter, voted in favor of reunification with Russia. According to Russian President Vladimir Putin, the issue of Crimea “is definitively closed.”
MOSCOW (Sputnik) – Ankara’s position on Crimea has no influence on relations between Russia and Turkey, Kremlin spokesman Dmitri Peskov told reporters.
“For us [Moscú y Ankara] such issues like the Crimean one do not exist, “Peskov told reporters.
The spokesman stressed that Russia continues to “patiently explain its position” on Crimea even though it “does not accept Turkey’s position” on the issue.
“We are convinced that sooner or later our Turkish colleagues and partners will understand the validity and rationale of the position of the Russian Federation,” said Peskov.
Imperial illusions: could the Turks devour Crimea and the rest of southern Russia?
Russia, he added, appreciates Turkey’s political will to find compromises on the most difficult issues.
“Without a doubt, Turkey is a very important partner of the Russian Federation, its strategic partner,” he emphasized.
The spokesperson noted that the two countries have close interaction on almost all regional issues, including Syria and Nagorno Karabakh.
In addition, Peskov highlighted advances in the economic-trade relations of Russia and Turkey, qualifying as “fundamental” cooperation in this area.
Crimea split from Ukraine and rejoined Russia after holding a March 2014 referendum in which the overwhelming majority of voters – more than 96% – endorsed that option, in response to the violent change of government in Kiev.
Moscow has repeatedly stated that the people of Crimea, democratically and in full compliance with international law and the Charter of the United Nations, voted in favor of reunification with Russia. According to Russian President Vladimir Putin, the issue of Crimea “is definitively closed.”
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